Bitcoin has declined 50% from its October 2025 peak of $126,128, following the established halving cycle pattern. Historical data suggests recovery could take 2-3 years, with the next halving in April 2028 potentially catalyzing the next bull cycle. The cryptocurrency is increasingly acting like a traditional asset due to institutional adoption via spot Bitcoin ETFs (launched January 2024), improved regulatory clarity, and miners diversifying into AI computing contracts.
Axe note: Bitcoin’s halving cycle and institutional interest suggest a slow recovery over 2-3 years, with implications for rand volatility and miners.