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Nvidia Is About 4% From Becoming the First $6 Trillion Company. History Says the Milestone Itself Tells You Little.

2026-10-07 03:21 •Daniel Sparks •The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective •Equities•Earnings•Forex•Technology•AI•Semiconductors •NVDA•AAPL

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Nvidia's $6 Trillion Milestone: What It Means for South Africa

Nvidia nears a historic market cap, but South African investors should focus on fundamentals, not the headline number.

Nvidia is about 4% away from hitting a $6 trillion market cap, a jaw-dropping figure that captures headlines but tells us little about what’s next. History with other trillion-dollar milestones shows the price alone isn’t a reliable predictor of future returns. What really moves the needle is whether earnings growth can keep ahead of rising valuations — and Nvidia’s latest earnings, up 120% year on year, suggest it might. For those in South Africa, the link isn’t direct — Nvidia isn’t listed on the JSE, and local investors can’t just buy into it without going through ADRs or offshore accounts. But the rand’s reaction to US tech strength matters, and a continued Nvidia rally could support a stronger risk appetite in USD/ZAR. We’d caution though, should global growth slow or interest rates spike, the tech rally could unravel, dragging the rand down. Keep eyes on companies like Prosus, which have tech exposure but with more local currency sensitivity. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Watch USD/ZAR for signs of tech-driven risk appetite and consider exposure to Prosus for tech exposure with a local twist. Avoid direct Nvidia plays unless comfortable with offshore currency risk.

What I would watch
  • USD/ZAR
  • Prosus
What could go wrong
  • US interest rate shocks
  • Global growth slowdown impacting tech demand
How strongly I feel

6/10

Nvidia is approaching a $6 trillion market cap milestone, but historical analysis of past trillion-dollar milestones shows the milestone itself is not predictive of future stock performance. What matters most is earnings growth relative to valuation multiples. Nvidia's strong earnings growth (120% EPS increase last quarter) and relatively low P/E ratio of 15x suggest the stock could continue climbing if earnings growth outpaces valuation compression.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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