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Goldman Sachs Saves the Dow From IBM's Worst Day in 39 Years

2026-07-14 17:01 Anders Bylund The Motley Fool Mixed Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsTechnologyAISemiconductors IBMGSGSPAGSPCGSPDSKHYNVDAMU

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Goldman Sachs Offsets IBM's Historic Collapse in Dow

IBM’s sharp 25% drop after a strategic misread contrasts with Goldman Sachs' strong earnings, highlighting shifting corporate spending that could impact SA sectors.

IBM’s massive 25% drop—the worst in 39 years—shows how quickly tech demand shifts can slam stocks. Their CEO admitted companies are shifting IT dollars from software to hardware. This rotation boosted semiconductors globally, lifting Nvidia and SK Hynix, but leaves questions about software reliance. Goldman Sachs' stellar results underline the value of strong underwriting during volatile times. For South Africa, this tech pivot matters because USD/ZAR could feel the volatility from changing capital flows. Local tech plays like Naspers and Prosus—heavy on software—may need to adjust expectations if capex continues moving hardware-heavy. Banks like Standard Bank and FirstRand might benefit on currency hedges, but the big risk is that if global tech spending slows more broadly, weaker rand pressures could intensify. Still, the dollar’s strength probably means USD/ZAR stays elevated. I’m cautious on SA tech and selective on banks here. this is just my opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Trim holdings in Naspers and Prosus, watching how the software-to-hardware budget shift plays out; consider selective exposure to SA banks as rand volatility persists.

Focus assets
  • Naspers
  • Prosus
  • Standard Bank
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Global tech spending could revert unexpectedly, benefiting software stocks
  • Rand could strengthen faster than expected if local factors improve
Confidence

6/10

IBM shares plummeted 24.9% after CEO Arvind Krishna warned that customers are redirecting IT budgets from software to hardware, marking the company's worst day since 1987. Goldman Sachs surged 7.4% after beating Q2 earnings estimates, offsetting IBM's 429-point drag on the Dow. The market rotation favored semiconductor stocks, with SK Hynix jumping 18.5%, Nvidia gaining 2.6%, and Micron rising 5.1%.

This article was originally published by The Motley Fool and has been adapted here for Axe Capital Trading News.

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Author: Anders Bylund

Categories: Equities, Earnings, Technology, AI, Semiconductors

Tickers: IBM, GS, GSPA, GSPC, GSPD, SKHY, NVDA, MU

Sentiment: Mixed - Stock collapsed 24.9% after CEO admitted the company misjudged a massive shift in corporate spending priorities, with customers redirecting budgets away from IBM software and services to hardware. This is IBM's worst trading day in 39 years. Stock surged 7.4% after crushing Q2 2026 earnings estimates across the board. The company benefited from market volatility and major underwriting deals, adding 459 Dow points to offset IBM's decline.

Keywords: IBM profit warning, hardware vs software spending, semiconductor rally, Goldman Sachs earnings, market rotation, capex reprioritization

Insights:

  • IBM: Negative: Stock collapsed 24.9% after CEO admitted the company misjudged a massive shift in corporate spending priorities, with customers redirecting budgets away from IBM software and services to hardware. This is IBM's worst trading day in 39 years.
  • GS: Positive: Stock surged 7.4% after crushing Q2 2026 earnings estimates across the board. The company benefited from market volatility and major underwriting deals, adding 459 Dow points to offset IBM's decline.
  • GSPA: Positive: Stock surged 7.4% after crushing Q2 2026 earnings estimates across the board. The company benefited from market volatility and major underwriting deals, adding 459 Dow points to offset IBM's decline.

Read the full article at the source