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Now We Know Why Netflix Is Trying but Failing to Go on a Shopping Spree

2026-07-17 14:13 Rick Munarriz The Motley Fool Negative Axe Cap view: Selective EquitiesEarningsM&A NFLXWBD

Axe Capital view

Netflix's Struggle Highlights Streaming Challenges Beyond Borders

Netflix's slowing growth and retreat into ad tiers and acquisitions hint at bigger issues for global streaming firms, with muted local impact.

Netflix’s recent earnings confirmed what many suspected: the streaming boom isn’t immune to saturation and rising costs. With revenue growth slowing to just 13.4%, Netflix is clearly struggling to attract new subscribers organically. Their move towards ad-supported plans and free trials shows a shift from innovation to survival mode. For South African investors watching the JSE, this is less about jumping into a local stock and more about watching the USD/ZAR. A weaker rand can amplify the dollar-denominated earnings challenges for global operators like Naspers and Prosus, which hold large stakes in international streaming assets, including Netflix. Prosus has already taken hits from these woes. While improving margins suggest some operational discipline, the underlying subscriber fatigue is a warning sign for all tech and media shares linked globally. The situation might improve if Netflix lands a transformative deal, but that looks unlikely in the short term given competitive pressures. this is just my opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

I’d trim exposure to Prosus and Naspers for now, keeping a close watch on the rand’s moves against the dollar. If USD/ZAR weakens, these counters could stabilize. Avoid chasing Netflix-related exposure until clearer growth signals emerge.

Focus assets
  • Prosus
  • Naspers
  • USD/ZAR
What could go wrong
  • Netflix could secure a game-changing acquisition
  • sudden rand depreciation could worsen earnings pressures
Confidence

7/10

Netflix's stock plummeted following disappointing Q2 earnings, with revenue growth slowing to 13.4% and weak forward guidance of 11.7% for Q3—its slowest growth in three years. The company is pursuing acquisitions and exploring free trial eligibility and ad-supported tiers as organic growth stalls, signaling desperation rather than strategic expansion. While profitability improved, investors are concerned about slowing subscriber growth and the company's ability to maintain momentum.

This article was originally published by The Motley Fool and has been adapted here for Axe Capital Trading News.

Publisher: The Motley Fool

Author: Rick Munarriz

Categories: Equities, Earnings, M&A

Tickers: NFLX, WBD

Sentiment: Negative - Stock dropped over 40% in the past year and fell 8.34% on the day of earnings. Q2 revenue growth of 13.4% is the weakest in over a year, and Q3 guidance of 11.7% growth represents a three-year low. The company is resorting to free trials and ad-supported tiers, indicating slowing organic subscriber growth and investor concerns about future profitability. Mentioned as a target of Netflix's acquisition attempts. While this could represent a potential business opportunity, the article frames Netflix's acquisition push as driven by desperation rather than strategic strength, and no specific outcome or impact on WBD is discussed.

Keywords: Netflix earnings, revenue slowdown, M&A activity, subscriber growth, streaming competition, free tier strategy, stock decline

Insights:

  • NFLX: Negative: Stock dropped over 40% in the past year and fell 8.34% on the day of earnings. Q2 revenue growth of 13.4% is the weakest in over a year, and Q3 guidance of 11.7% growth represents a three-year low. The company is resorting to free trials and ad-supported tiers, indicating slowing organic subscriber growth and investor concerns about future profitability.
  • WBD: Neutral: Mentioned as a target of Netflix's acquisition attempts. While this could represent a potential business opportunity, the article frames Netflix's acquisition push as driven by desperation rather than strategic strength, and no specific outcome or impact on WBD is discussed.

Read the full article at the source