SpaceX could deliver a 10x return if annual revenue reaches $3.6 trillion by 2040, aligning with Morgan Stanley's $3.4 trillion projection. Currently trading at $1.8 trillion market cap with $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue, the company would need a 5x price-to-sales ratio to reach an $18 trillion valuation. However, this scenario depends on successful execution of Starlink, Starship, and AI segments, with significant downside risk if any underperforms.
Axe note: SpaceX’s potential 10x gains hinge on moonshot execution, but South African investors should watch USD/ZAR first.