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Clear market notes built around the JSE, the rand, and what matters locally.

Axe Capital Trading News shares simple market takes on the stories moving South African shares, the rand, and a handful of major currency pairs.

What you will find here:

1. JSE shares, South African companies, and the local knock-on effects of big market news.

2. The rand, interest rates, and a small group of forex pairs, with USD/ZAR at the centre.

3. Global stories only when they can actually change how a local investor might act.

Latest market stories

Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella Just Shared Bad News for Nvidia and Great News for This Rival Chipmaker
2026-10-16 08:53 • The Motley Fool Mixed Axe Cap view: Selective

Microsoft plans to significantly expand its custom-designed Maia chips in Azure data centers starting next year, reducing reliance on Nvidia GPUs. The company will make Maia 300 chips its primary inference system for its products and services. This shift benefits Marvell Technology, which partners on the Maia chips, while pressuring Nvidia as major cloud providers develop custom AI accelerator alternatives.

Axe note: Microsoft's move to custom Maia chips threatens Nvidia’s data center dominance, helping Marvell and Alphabet’s AI ambitions.

History Says a Stock Market Downturn Is Coming, and Investors Should Do This When It Happens
2026-10-16 08:48 • The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective

While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have gained 13% and 15% year-to-date respectively, a market downturn is inevitable. Historical data since 2010 shows the S&P 500 averages 18% returns and the Nasdaq averages 23% returns in the year following their first close in correction territory, suggesting that buying during market dips has been a successful strategy for investors.

Axe note: History shows market corrections are setbacks, not ends — a buying opportunity for the patient investor.

Not AMD. Not Broadcom. This is the Chip Designer Nvidia Investors Should Be Watching
2026-10-16 08:44 • The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective

Arm Holdings is a critical chip designer that Nvidia investors should monitor closely. Unlike AMD and Broadcom, Arm doesn't compete with Nvidia but rather supplies the architecture that powers Nvidia's Vera CPUs. Arm's licensing model generates predictable revenue streams, with royalties comprising 55% of Q1 FY2027 revenue of $1.3 billion. The company has captured over 50% of the hyperscaler market and continues strong growth, though its valuation at 150x forward earnings is steep compared to peers.

Axe note: Arm’s critical role in chip design supports Nvidia's growth, but its premium valuation calls for caution.

What we follow

We keep the focus on JSE shares, the rand, and the currency moves that matter most to South African investors.

JSE and rand